KALSHI / LIVEOPEN
GTA VI for 2026 Game of the Year
Grand Theft Auto VI
- Grand Theft Auto VI
- 73%
- Lifetime volume
- 396,156 contracts
- Source
- Kalshi public exchange feed
GTALEDGER / MARKET DATA
GTA 6 Prediction Market History
Track market-implied probabilities for release timing, delays, pricing, trailers and other GTA VI events.
Announced release: 2026-11-19
PlayStation 5 and Xbox Series X|S are listed in GTALedger’s sourced release guide. Prediction-market prices do not change these official facts.
Release guide & evidence ↗Each contract has its own rules
These markets use different questions or deadlines, so their prices are shown individually. A combined range appears only when two platforms offer the same reviewed contract.
| Exact question | Platform | YES price |
|---|---|---|
| GTA 6 launch postponed again? | polymarket | 6.5% |
| Will GTA 6 cost $100+? | polymarket | 2.2% |
| Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $70? | polymarket | 95.5% |
| Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $80? | polymarket | 5.3% |
| Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $60? | polymarket | 97.2% |
| Will the Grand Theft Auto VI PS5 launch price be at least $75? | polymarket | 95.5% |
Pricing reflects trading, not guarantees. Differences can arise from liquidity, fees, participants and rules. GTALedger does not treat a simple average as a better forecast.
Reading prediction-market data
Are these official GTA VI odds?
No. Only Rockstar can confirm its announcements. Market pricing represents participant expectations under specific contract rules.
Does “release before December” mean “no delay”?
Not necessarily. Dates, announcement requirements and resolution criteria differ. GTALedger does not invert one question into another.
Why are some movements unavailable?
24-hour, 7-day and 30-day changes need real observations near those earlier times. New markets, missing history and stale data show no calculated change.